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Paradigm-Shifting
Technologies

The widespread integration of Artificial Intelligence (AI) could transform nearly every industry. But AI development and infrastructure are emerging as massive industries themselves. Globally, AI-specific digital infrastructure could be a $1 trillion business by 2032. We explore the growth of AI infrastructure as well as AI’s application across industries, including robotics and defence.
Bloomberg (2024, March 8), Generative AI races toward $1.3 trillion in revenue by 2032.
There is no guarantee that any trends observed in this material will continue. Any views / opinions are based on current market conditions and are subject to change.
Bloomberg (2024, March 8), Generative AI races toward $1.3 trillion in revenue by 2032.
There is no guarantee that any trends observed in this material will continue. Any views / opinions are based on current market conditions and are subject to change.
Tech Over Time
The world can change dramatically in a lifetime. Recognising past dramatic shifts from technological innovations helps us envision a vastly different world in the decades to come.
Backlinko (2024, June 4), ChatGPT / OpenAI Statistics: How Many People Use ChatGPT?; Global X ETFs forecast with information  derived from: Our World in Data (2019, July 27), Share of United States Households Using Specific Technologies.

AI
Infrastructure

Laying the Groundwork

Supercomputing Witnesses Significant Progress

Significant increases in computing speeds and efficiency are propelling the AI revolution and boosting productivity.

Our World in Data. (2024, April 22). Computational Capacity of the Fastest Supercomputers.

AI Could Accelerate Corporate Profitability

AI could extend the benefits of the information age and continue to have a significant impact on corporate profitability, potentially driving both earnings growth and overall macroeconomic expansion.

Bloomberg L.P. (n.d.), financial data as of November 19, 2024.

AI Infrastructure Spending Is Surging

The potential for productivity growth is spurring investments in AI infrastructure. Four tech giants—Amazon, Google, Meta, and Microsoft—are expected to spend upwards of $213 billion in capital spending in 2024.

Factset (n.d), AMZN, GOOGL, MSFT, META financial data.

AI Is Fueling a Data Centre Boom

With AI requiring specialised infrastructure and more computing power, increased construction of data centres in the United States is needed.

CBRE Report (2024, March 7), North American Data Centre Pricing Nears Record Highs, Driven by Strong Demand and Limited Availability.

GPUs and Custom-Made AI Chips Could Fuel Semiconductor Growth

Alongside training GPUs, the AI chip market is being boosted by custom-made chips for specific workloads, which are increasingly being used by cloud data centres. By 2030, spending on AI chips is expected to grow to nearly $500 billion, up from just $70 billion in 2023.

Global X ETFs forecast with information derived from: IDC (2024, February), IDC Semiconductor Market Forecast 24Q1, Outlook for AI Semiconductor & Storage Components in IT Infrastructure; The Next Platform (2024, July 15), Ongoing Saga: How Much Money Will Be Spent on AI Chips?

U.S. Data Centre Power Demand Expected to Double by 2030

In six years, the power used by U.S. data centres is expected to double—surpassing the growth rates of residential, commercial, and industrial power usage.

Global X ETFs forecast with information derived from Utility Dive (2024, May 24), U.S. power demand expected to jump 2.7% this summer, plus 5 other takeaways from FERC’s open meeting.

Robotics

Breakthroughs in Automation

A New Era for Robotics

Responding to reshoring agendas and a tight labour market, some U.S. manufacturers are investing in automation, with installation of industrial robots growing each year since 2020.

IFR Pressroom (2022, October 26), Sales of Robots for the Service Sector Grew by 37% Worldwide.

Robotics in Manufacturing

Rising hourly wages for many U.S. manufacturing workers and the decreasing costs of robotic setups are contributing to accelerating robotics adoption in manufacturing, arguably making robotic automation critical for companies to stay competitive.

Global X ETFs forecast with information derived from Trading Economics (2024), United States Average Hourly Wages in Manufacturing.
Global X ETFs forecast with information derived from Statista Research Department (2023, September 7), Industrial Robots: Average Selling Price 2009–2018.

Humanoids Present the Next Robotics Breakthrough

With increasing access to advanced AI, humanoid robots—machines that resemble a human being— could present one of the next frontiers in automation, with the devices integrating into everyday life.

Global X ETFs forecast with information derived from: Science Robotics (2017, December 20), Humanoid Robotics – History, Current State of the Art, and Challenges; Goldman Sachs (2022, November 15), Humanoid Robots: Sooner Than You Might Think; Macquarie (2023, February 23), Are We Turning a Corner on the Humanoid Robot Age?; The Economic Times (2024, January 22), Elon Musk Expects 1 Billion Humanoid Robots by 2040s.

Growth of Humanoid Sales Mirrors Early Automobile Adoption

Just as autos transitioned from a nascent idea to widespread consumer sales in less than 10 years in the late 1800s, humanoids could be poised to take off

Global X ETFs forecast with information derived from: Strategy + Business (2023, August 15), Boston Dynamics Wants to Change the World with Its State-of-the-Art Robots; Whisbi (2022, February 1), The History of Car Sales.

Humanoids Could Present Large Total Market Opportunity

In addition to industrial use cases, humanoids are likely to be adopted for a variety of household and domestic applications such as housework, security, and entertainment.

Global X ETFs forecast with information derived from: Goldman Sachs (2022, November 15), Humanoid Robots: Sooner Than You Might Think; Science Robotics (2017, December 20), Humanoid Robotics – History, Current State of the Art, and Challenges; The Economic Times (2024, January 22), Elon Musk Expects 1 Billion Humanoid Robots by 2040s.

Defence Technology

Shield of Innovation

Growing Conflicts Push Military Spending Higher

Fueled by the war in Ukraine and escalating tensions in the Middle East, world military expenditures hit an all-time high of $2.44 trillion in 2023.

Global X ETFs forecast with information derived from Fortune Business Insights (2024, October 14), Military Drone Market Size, Share & Russia-Ukraine War Impact Analysis, 2024–2032. Report ID: FBI102181.

U.S. Defence Spending Expected to Reach $1 Trillion

With a proposed top line of $886 billion for 2024 fiscal year defence spending, the U.S. Congressional Budget Office projects defence spending in the United States will surpass $1.1 trillion by 2032.

Congressional Budget Office (2022, May 25), The Budget and Economic Outlook: 2022 to 2032.

Is Defence Going Digital?

Military spending has traditionally revolved around conventional hardware and the supply of ammunition. Current budgets reflect an increase toward research and development that bolsters digitalisation.

Congressional Budget Office (2024, June 18), The Budget and Economic Outlook: 2024 to 2034.

AI in Defence Tech

As AI and robotics play more pivotal roles in modern warfare, the U.S. military’s request for funds for AI investment has doubled in two years.

Roll Call (2024, March 5), Pentagon’s priority on AI spending could shield it from cuts.

Increases Anticipated in Drone and Autonomous Vehicle Spending Worldwide

Military spending on drones and autonomous aerial vehicles is projected to double by 2030 as these products could prove key to next-generation defence.

Global X ETFs forecast with information derived from Fortune Business Insights (2024, October 14), Military Drone Market Size, Share & Russia-Ukraine War Impact Analysis, By Product Type (Fixed Wing, Hybrid & Rotary Wing), By Range (Visual Line of Sight, Extended Visual Line of Sight, & Beyond Line of Sight), By Technology (Remotely Operated Drones, Semi-Autonomous Drones, Autonomous Drones), By System (Airframe, Avionics, Propulsion, Payload, Software), By Application (Intelligence, Surveillance Reconnaissance, & Targeting, Combat Operations, Battle Damage Management), & Regional Forecast, 2024–2032. Report ID: FBI102181.

Shifts in Cybersecurity Spending Point to Increased Importance of Software

As cloud-native and AI-native security solutions come to market, spending on cybersecurity could increase as the sector sees a shift from services to software.

Global X ETFs forecast with information derived from Gartner (2024, August 28), Gartner Forecasts Global Information Security Spending to Grow 15% in 2025.